Seattle Real Estate Trends: July 2016

We have had a slight increase in inventory in many neighborhoods which is much-needed.  Let’s take a look at what happened in Seattle’s July real estate market in key neighborhoods.

Inventory and Pendings

Below we compare the number of active listings (supply) and pendings (demand) for several of the key Seattle neighborhoods including Central Seattle, Queen Anne and Magnolia, Belltown and Downtown, Ballard and Greenlake, and North Seattle. Our table includes single family residences as well as condos comparing July 2015 and 2016.

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Overall, Seattle’s inventory of active listings increased 916 in June to 1,081 last month.  Pendings were down slightly (from 1,237 in June to 1,107 last month).

Median Sales Prices

Seattle’s median sales price for both residential and condos grew from $506,000 last July to $583,250 last month (represents a 15.3% gain). Looking at residential and condos separately, residential prices are up 14.0% ($560,000 to $638,585) and condo prices are up 12.1% ($410,000 to $459,475).

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List Price to Sales Price

When the list price to sales price is over 100%, this is usually an indicator of multiple offers. For all of Seattle, last July’s list price to sales price ratio was 103.4% as opposed to 104.4% this last month.

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I can’t believe we are only a few weeks away from the Seahawks pre-season! I am very excited! If you would like additional information on our market, please contact me – your Seattle Home Guy – at sold@windermere.com or give me a call: (206) 226-5300.

Seattle Real Estate Trends: June 2016

Summer is beautiful in the Pacific Northwest and although we have had a rainy start to summer 2016, I have high hopes that the sun will come out and smile on Seattle in the coming weeks. Is this a weather prediction or just my joy at seeing that Felix is coming off the disabled list? We shall see! Let’s take a look at what happened in Seattle’s real estate market in key neighborhoods this past June: Continue reading

Seattle Real Estate Trends: May 2016

The cranes are busy, buyers are out shopping, and if we could get Felix Hernandez off the DL, we would really be cookin’! Let’s see what happened in Seattle’s real estate market in key neighborhoods this May.

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Seattle Real Estate Trends: April 2016

Let’s see what happened in Seattle’s real estate market in key neighborhoods this April!

Inventory and Pendings

Below we compare the number of active listings (supply) and pendings (demand) for several of the key Seattle neighborhoods including Central Seattle, Queen Anne and Magnolia, Belltown and Downtown, Ballard and Greenlake, and North Seattle. Our table includes single family residences as well as condos comparing April 2015 and 2016.

Continue reading

Seattle Real Estate Trends: March 2016

I am glad to see the number of homes on the market picking up as there are a lot of buyers out there who need to buy homes! I have ten listings and six of them pended in about seven days. The others haven’t been on the market yet a week but I expect them to go fast.

Let’s see what happened in Seattle’s March real estate market in key neighborhoods: Continue reading

Seattle Real Estate Trends, Nov 2015

Usually things quiet down a bit this time of year, especially between Thanksgiving and Christmas. Not so in 2015! Buyers who were frustrated this summer due to not winning with multiple offers are back, hoping to buy while there is a slight lull and before interest rates go up. However, we aren’t seeing the bump in available inventory this late fall. In fact, in November, we dropped to the lowest number of homes and condos available for sale in the last ten years at 740 units. The number of homes under contract for November was 821 which means that properties are still flying off the market very quickly and the demand cannot be satiated!

Let’s see what happened to Seattle’s real estate market in key neighborhoods this November:

Inventory and Pendings

Below we compare the number of active listings (supply) and pendings (demand) for several of the key Seattle neighborhoods including Central Seattle, Queen Anne and Magnolia, Belltown and Downtown, Ballard and Greenlake, and North Seattle. Our table includes single family residences as well as condos comparing September 2014 and 2015.

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Median Sales Prices

Prices are still on the rise. November’s median home price for residential and condos was $513,600 – a 17% increase over last November. 17%! In fact, the only month ever with a higher median sold price was this last August at $536,000.

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I do expect the Federal Reserve will be raising rates in December, and although that might give buyers some breathing room due to less competition, there is still a lot of pent up demand (and still-growing demand due to our local economy) to be satisfied before we can resume a more-normal market.

My predictions will be out soon for 2016 and if you would like to receive those by mail, please contact me – your Seattle Home Guy – at sold@windermere.com or give me a call: (206) 226-5300.

Seattle Real Estate Market Update, October 2015

Inventory of Seattle of homes for sale is still at a ten year low for October at 1,018 homes and condos available for sale. The ten year average up to 2014 is 2,879 homes which puts us 64.6% below that average. Our pending listings were at 985 for October, which is above our 802 average (22.8% above average).

Let’s see what happened in the October Seattle real estate market in key neighborhoods:

Inventory and Pendings

Below we compare the number of active listings (supply) and pendings (demand) for several of the key Seattle neighborhoods including Central Seattle, Queen Anne and Magnolia, Belltown and Downtown, Ballard and Greenlake, and North Seattle. Our table includes single family residences as well as condos comparing September 2014 and 2015.

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Median Sales Prices

Seattle residential and condo median home prices continued to see median sales price increase of 8.9% over last October to a price of $485,000.

The average days on market for sold residential and condos in October was 18 days. This includes properties up to $5,750,000 (the highest price sale in October). This is one day less than September’s sales. Last October, the average days on market in Seattle was 32, so we have had a 43.8% decline in days on market over the last year. That is remarkable!

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While the Seattle real estate market appears to be undefeated, I wish I could say the same for the Seahawks. However, like the real estate market, I expect great things in the coming weeks! We are only half way through the season and eight games to go and you can bet I show up in my team blue each Friday and I hope you do too. Go Hawks!

Please contact me – your Seattle Home Guy – at sold@windermere.com or give me a call: (206) 226-5300 to discuss what this market means for you.

Market Price Often Determines Market Time

These days it is unusual to see a home lingering on the market three weeks after it is listed. However, even with the 299 residential listings that have sold since August 15, several of them were on the market for well over 30 days. As we take a closer look, many of these properties started out at much higher prices than they wind up selling for. In most cases, this is because the homes were not priced right in the first place, although sometimes it can be an indication of a short sale.

For the purposes of my analysis, I looked at homes between $500,000-$1,000,000  as there were many fixers below $500,000 and anything above $1,000,000 tends to be a longer market time anyway. There were 151 sales sold between $500,000-$1,000,000 between August 15-25, 2015. 17 of those homes were on the market 30 days or longer.

The days on market average for this group was 73 days with an original list price to sales price ratio of 92.8%. That means that if we look at the average, if a home had been originally listed for $700,000 and it sold for the average original list to sales price ratio, it would have sold for $649,600. Imagine you were this seller. How would you feel if you were now walking away with $50,000 less?

Here are a few of the more-challenging listings on the list of solds:

  • There was one home on the market for 226 days. It wound up only selling for 77.2% of original list price.
  • One home sold in 94 days. It wound up selling for 81.1% of original list price
  • There was also one that sold in 83 days for 88.9% of original list price.

For this same time period, evaluating the same price point and area, the average market time was 16 days.

In this market especially, it is critical to price your property right as soon as it hits the market. You are much better off to not price the home too optimistically. Instead, pricing it at or even slightly under market in a market like ours encourages more buyers to take a look and possibly multiple offers which will drive the price up. Don’t be tempted to overprice and if you interview an agent who says otherwise, I encourage you to get a second opinion.

I would love to share more information with you. Please give me a call at (206) 226-5300 or send an email to sold@windermere.com.

Common Home Selling Myths

Although everyone seems to be talking about the current inventory challenges in the Seattle market, I want to instead devote some blog time to dispelling some of the myths around home selling – in any market.

Ask most people about selling a home and you will likely get diverse stories around the individual listing and selling experience. Homeowners who may have bought or sold love to recount their experiences by way of providing advice for your upcoming listing, but since each listing and transaction is different, their experience may be completely different from yours. Furthermore, since there can be a lot of information that goes back and forth during a transaction, it is easy to mis-remember the events… hence myths are both.

Let’s take a look at some of the most common myths when it comes to selling a home:

Myth #1: The longer a home is on the market, the higher chance it will sell.

Fact: The longer a home lingers on the market, the more likely it is to raise a red flag in the minds of potential buyers. Instead of flocking to view the home, buyers regard it with a cryptic eye wondering, “Why isn’t it selling?  Is there a hidden flaw in it?  Is it overpriced?”

The first few weeks of a listing represents the period where there is most viewing traffic from potential buyers. However, if a buyer perceives the price to be out of their range, they may choose not to view it.

The fix for a lingering listing is systematic price reductions, but that is not a fix for pricing it right in the first place. However, if a potential buyer sees the seller steadily dropping the price, they may assume that the home was overpriced when it first listed, explaining the long market time, and now the seller is ready to be reasonable.

But beware! Even when the price has dropped, the buyer may perceive it is still overpriced due to long market time. In my experience, sellers tend to have a tougher negotiating time when the home has been on the market for a while.

Also consider that new listings come on the market all the time. Competition doesn’t go away, leaving your listing the last one standing.

Myth #2: Buyers will be wowed by the condition and amenities. Price is secondary.

Fact: Price is king. Period.

Condition and amenities aren’t completely irrelevant. They can make the difference between a buyer loving your house over another. However, price is a much more important factor for most buyers.

Let’s liken this to a car. The features and amenities in, say, a Ferrari, are impressive. If a Ferrari were priced the same as a Honda, we would see more Ferraris on the road. However, most buyers cannot afford a Ferrari, regardless of the features and amenities. The same principles apply to your home.

Myth #3: Although my agent did a Comparative Market Analysis, my home doesn’t compare with those homes and should be priced higher.

This is something you will need to discuss with the agent who did the CMA. A thorough agent will try to choose homes that are most similar to yours, in a similar area, which have sold recently, there usually aren’t exact matches available. What an agent will do instead is find similar homes and make accommodations for condition and amenities.

I do extensive research when I do my CMAs, and the resulting price range is usually the market price range for the home.

I currently have nine listings, seven of which are pending. The average days on market for those that are pending is 8.85 which is indicative of pricing at market –  the result of a CMA and extensive market research.

I would love to share additional information with you regarding myths you may have heard about selling your home in this market…or any market!  Just give me a call at (206) 226-5300 or send an email to sold@windermere.com.