Seattle Real Estate Trends – January 2016

Posted on February 16, 2016 by Steve Laevastu

It already feels a little spring-like in Seattle. Trees are beginning to bloom, the days are getting longer, and the real estate market never even took a breath in the winter. Let’s see what happened in Seattle’s January real estate market in key neighborhoods:

Inventory and Pendings

Below we compare the number of active listings (supply) and pendings (demand) for several of the key Seattle neighborhoods including Central Seattle, Queen Anne and Magnolia, Belltown and Downtown, Ballard and Greenlake, and North Seattle. Our table includes single family residences as well as condos comparing January 2015 and 2016.

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Median Sales Prices

Prices are mostly up looking at January 2015 versus January 2016 numbers. See the tables below!

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The median home price for January in all of Seattle for both residential and condos was $520,000, which is 15.0% above last January’s $452,000. I was glad to see the amount of available inventory go up in January, from 548 in December to 659 this month. Last January actually had fewer listings than December, so it was good to see this shift as buyers are out in droves.

If you are thinking of a move this year, let’s talk! Please contact me – your Seattle Home Guy – at sold@windermere.com or give me a call: (206) 226-5300.

Seattle Real Estate Trends, December 2015

Posted on January 13, 2016 by Steve Laevastu

This 2016 is starting with the lowest number of homes for sale in Seattle in years! In December there were only 359 homes and condos for sale in all of Seattle. Let’s see what happened in Seattle’s November real estate market in key neighborhoods:

Inventory and Pendings

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Median Sales Prices

Prices are up both year over year and month over month. See the tables below!

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I predict that 2016 will be another banner year in Seattle real estate, and I am hopeful that when interest rates start to go up our market will even back out in terms of supply and demand. Have a question about what to do about what to do with your real estate this year? Please contact me – your Seattle Home Guy – at sold@windermere.com or give me a call: (206) 226-5300.

What’s In Store for Seattle in 2016?

Posted on January 4, 2016 by Steve Laevastu

Each year I take a look back on the Seattle real estate market and consider what is coming up in the months to come. Here is a snapshot of my 2016 predictions for Seattle’s real estate market:

PRICES: December’s data is not yet available, but median residential home prices in Seattle have risen 13.1% over 2015. That is a significant increase! I don’t expect 2016 to have an increase quite so strong, but I do expect there to continue to be a more moderate increase since we are starting from a higher spot. Housing inventory will continue to be a challenge and a driver in our market, especially as jobs at Amazon, Google, and other tech industries continue to grow and fill the office space available. Although there are new projects and housing available, it will continue to get consumed quickly. Therefore, I predict Seattle home and condo prices to rise between 8- 10% over the next year. They rose from 2012 to 2013: 11.2% and 2013 to 2014: 7.4%.

AFFORDABILITY: I do expect this will be a very hot topic in 2016 especially in Seattle. The areas around South Lake Union, Capitol Hill, Queen Anne, and Belltown will see the highest demand. These are already areas where rent – and prices – are soaring, and the people who are moving in for work may be priced out. First time homebuyers will be priced out of many of these areas (as well as renters if rent increases faster than wages). Therefore, they may be looking in neighborhoods just outside of there (such as Ballard, Greenlake, Leschi, etc) and look to mass transit.

INVENTORY: There were 1,133 homes and condos available for sale last November. This year there were only 739 – a 34.8% decline. The average days on market for a home or condo sold October-December of 2014 was 34. That has declined to 22 in October-December of 2015. There are a number of condo developments on the horizon for 2016, but we need more to house the number of people coming into the area.

According to Seattle.gov, 2010’s population estimate was 608,660 and the population estimate for 2015 is 662,400. This means that within the last five years, we needed to house 53,740 additional people. That is 10,748 per year or 207 people per week. No wonder we have an inventory challenge! The job market is going to continue to be strong in 2016 and more workers will be on the hunt for housing!

ADUs and DADUs: Accessory Dwelling Units (ADUs) and Tiny Accessory Dwelling Units (DADUs) are separate living spaces within a house or on the same property as an existing house which are legally permitted. Mayor Murray put forth his aggressive Housing Affordability and Livability (HALA) plan this past year to create 50,000 housing units over the next ten years. Increasing the number of ADUs and DADUs are on the HALA report for 2016 and I predict that we will see many ADU and DADU units built on lots to increase urban density. These are also referred to as cottage housing, small duplexes, and backyard cottages. There may be an opportunity for you to build an ADU or DADU in your own backyard! You can find out more information on ADUs and DADUs and the HALA report here:

INTEREST RATES: The Federal Reserve decided to raise the short term interest rates at their December meeting, which will undoubtedly cause mortgage interest rates to rise over the coming year, perhaps as much as to 5.5%. Although this will affect how much home a buyer can afford, I don’t expect it will diminish demand significantly.

If you would like to learn more about what is in store for 2016 and how what is happening with the real estate market affects your real estate investment, please give me a call or text: (206) 226-5300 or email: sold@windermere.com.

Seattle Real Estate Trends, Nov 2015

Posted on December 14, 2015 by Steve Laevastu

Usually things quiet down a bit this time of year, especially between Thanksgiving and Christmas. Not so in 2015! Buyers who were frustrated this summer due to not winning with multiple offers are back, hoping to buy while there is a slight lull and before interest rates go up. However, we aren’t seeing the bump in available inventory this late fall. In fact, in November, we dropped to the lowest number of homes and condos available for sale in the last ten years at 740 units. The number of homes under contract for November was 821 which means that properties are still flying off the market very quickly and the demand cannot be satiated!

Let’s see what happened to Seattle’s real estate market in key neighborhoods this November:

Inventory and Pendings

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Median Sales Prices

Prices are still on the rise. November’s median home price for residential and condos was $513,600 – a 17% increase over last November. 17%! In fact, the only month ever with a higher median sold price was this last August at $536,000.

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I do expect the Federal Reserve will be raising rates in December, and although that might give buyers some breathing room due to less competition, there is still a lot of pent up demand (and still-growing demand due to our local economy) to be satisfied before we can resume a more-normal market.

My predictions will be out soon for 2016 and if you would like to receive those by mail, please contact me – your Seattle Home Guy – at sold@windermere.com or give me a call: (206) 226-5300.

Seattle Real Estate Market Update, October 2015

Posted on November 12, 2015 by Steve Laevastu

Inventory of Seattle of homes for sale is still at a ten year low for October at 1,018 homes and condos available for sale. The ten year average up to 2014 is 2,879 homes which puts us 64.6% below that average. Our pending listings were at 985 for October, which is above our 802 average (22.8% above average).

Let’s see what happened in the October Seattle real estate market in key neighborhoods:

Inventory and Pendings

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Median Sales Prices

Seattle residential and condo median home prices continued to see median sales price increase of 8.9% over last October to a price of $485,000.

The average days on market for sold residential and condos in October was 18 days. This includes properties up to $5,750,000 (the highest price sale in October). This is one day less than September’s sales. Last October, the average days on market in Seattle was 32, so we have had a 43.8% decline in days on market over the last year. That is remarkable!

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While the Seattle real estate market appears to be undefeated, I wish I could say the same for the Seahawks. However, like the real estate market, I expect great things in the coming weeks! We are only half way through the season and eight games to go and you can bet I show up in my team blue each Friday and I hope you do too. Go Hawks!

Please contact me – your Seattle Home Guy – at sold@windermere.com or give me a call: (206) 226-5300 to discuss what this market means for you.

Seattle Real Estate Trends – August 2015

Posted on September 14, 2015 by Steve Laevastu

Boy, could we have had a more amazing summer? Maybe mother nature was trying to make up to us Pacific Northwesterners for the devastating end to the Superbowl. I am excited for the fall and I am excited to see our Hawks play some ball again. Go Hawks!

This has also been quite the summer for Seattle real estate. Our market seems to have naturally slowed down just a little over the last few weeks as we cram in last vacations before the kids start school. Stock market volatility has also caused some to pause, but the fact is Seattle is a great place to invest in and some blips on the DJI aren’t going to change that. Through August, our inventory is still very low in Seattle (we haven’t had even 1,000 properties on the market for any month this whole year) and our pending numbers are high.

But let’s take a closer look at what the end of summer real estate market is like in Seattle and some key neighborhoods:

Inventory and Pendings

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Median Sales Prices

Median sales prices for Seattle residential and condos was up sharply in August, rising to a new all-time high of $537,800. This was 5.97% higher than the previous high of $507,500 set in June. Looking at year over year, August of 2014’s sales price median was $417,500, so we are looking at a 21.56% year-over-year increase.

Looking at the individual neighborhoods, Wow! Check out Belltown/Downtown. That is a significant increase which requires some explanation. In August of 2015 there were 137 sold homes and condos in the area ranging in price from $199,500 to $2,579,610. 27 of these were over $1,000,000. The former median price was $384,375, but there were only 5 of the 137 that sold were under that former median price. Compare that to last year when there were only 42 sales, the lowest was at $169,000 and the highest was $1,800,000 (with only five over $1,000,000). This makes a big difference. Does this mean prices have truly gone up over 80% in one year or is the product on the market different? The product on the market is different, there are more people buying condos as the price for homes is on the rise, so those two factors together is what I see happening in that particular neighborhood.

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As I type this, there is massive speculation regarding whether or not the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at their meeting on September 17^th. If they do, this could change the real estate landscape a bit, but as I said before, Seattle will continue to be a great place to invest. Please contact me – your Seattle Home Guy – at sold@windermere.com or give me a call at (206) 226-5300 to discuss what this market means for you.

Seattle Real Estate Trends, July 2015

Posted on August 12, 2015 by Steve Laevastu

Usually we see Seattle real estate take a small breather in July. Not so this year. Although Seattle’s inventory has increased since its low point in January of 830, it has only increased 16.2% to 982 properties for sale in July. The number of homes under contract did decrease a bit to 1,122 from the high this year of 1,270 in May.

Here is a closer look at what is happening in the Seattle real estate market and trends for some its key neighborhoods:

Inventory and Pendings

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All five of my listings are currently pending and were snapped up quick!

Ravenna Area Residential Listed at $800,000 – pended in 7 days
View Ridge Area Residential Listed at $550,000 – pended in 26 days
University District Area Residential Listed at $525,000 – pended in 9 days
Ravenna Area Residential Listed at $439,950 – pended in 19 days
Townhome in Shoreline Listed at $375,000 – pended in 7 days

Median Sales Prices

The median sales price for Seattle for residential and condos decreased very slightly last month to $506,050 from the previous high of $507,500 the month before. However, year over year, the median sales price is up 11.7% since last July when it was $453,150. I expect median sales prices to continue to increase through the rest of 2015 until we can satiate demand either through more homes on the market or a decrease in buyers (which could be imminent if interest rates rise).

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There is still time to sell if you want to take advantage of these market conditions. Things may start to change if the Federal Reserve increases interest rates in September (which, according to sources such as the Wall Street Journal, is likely to occur soon). Even if you are looking for an assessment of how your asset has appreciated, or may appreciate in the coming years, please contact me – your Seattle Home Guy – at sold@windermere.com or give me a call at (206) 226-5300.

Seattle Real Estate Trends, June 2015

Posted on July 14, 2015 by Steve Laevastu

The Seattle real estate market is hot and not just because of the weather! Multiple offers continue to be the name of the game. For the 1,241 properties in Seattle that sold in June, the average days on market was 20. The average list to sales price ratio for residential solds was 104.27% while it was 102.341% for condos. This is indicative of multiple offers for both types of property around Seattle.

Here is a closer look at what is happening in the Seattle real estate market and some of its key neighborhoods.

Inventory and Pendings

The number of condos and homes for sale in Seattle was at 966 for June which is 36.3% lower than June of 2014. Usually as we get into the summer months, the number of homes on the market increases. However, with waning new homes coming on the market and the current inventory going under contract quickly, there aren’t enough homes for sale for the number of buyers.

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Median Sales Prices

The median sales price for Seattle hit yet another new record in June of $507,750. I am seeing gains in the neighborhoods I track as well. Interest rates are still near 4% which is a slight rise from this winter/spring when Freddie Mac reported it as low as 3.59% (for the week of February 5^th), but 4% is still a screaming deal and the buyers are out looking for any real estate for sale.

In fact, I have nine listings right now. They have all pended within an average of 15 days with the exception of a new one I put on the market just today in Ravenna. I expect it will go quickly and for multiple offers!

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I would love to talk with you about your real estate investment goals or let you know where your home stands in relation to today’s market. Contact me – your Seattle Home Guy – at sold@windermere.com or give me a call: (206) 226-5300.

What Population Growth Means for the Seattle Housing Market

Posted on June 29, 2015 by Steve Laevastu

My clients have been asking me lately what is causing the huge inventory challenges that we are seeing right now in our real estate market. The number of homes for sale in Seattle and the surrounding area is not only historically low for this time of year, but the demand for this housing is causing prices to escalate rapidly, harkening back to the last housing surge we had before the housing market crashed. There is fear about Seattle developing a bubble. However, it is important to note that the conditions that caused the increases back in 2006-2007 are different than what causing this high demand today.

Back in 2005-2007, a good portion of the housing demand was caused by the ease of obtaining a loan. Not so today. Not only are lending standards much more stringent, but increases in population are one of the key driving factors in the demand for housing. Let’s take a look at what is happening in Washington and Seattle.

The new data provided by the Washington State Office of Financial Management (OFM) will come out in just a few days (June 30^th). However, last year’s data released June 30^th, 2014 showed that Washington State’s population increased by 85,800 between 2013-2014 (a 1.25% gain) which was the largest one-year increase since 2008.

OFM also indicated that migration from other states was the largest component of this increase (49,200 people net). Natural increases (birth minus death) accounted for the rest of the increase.

Additionally, 75% of the state’s population increase impacted the five largest metropolitan counties: Clark, King, Pierce, Snohomish, and Spokane due to the economic opportunities in those areas.

What is interesting is OFM also reported that 31,000 new housing units were added across the state. Even if you averaged two people per household, there is still a shortage of about 20,000 units. And that is just due to population!

Now let’s take a closer look at Seattle. Between 2010-2014, Seattle’s population grew by 31,840 people. In that same period, 14,823 housing units were added. Again, if we estimate two people per unit, that still gives us about a 2,000 shortage just within Seattle.

I am not concerned about a housing bubble right now. The demand we are seeing is a natural component of a strong economy and increases in population. However, if you have concerns, I would be happy to talk with you about those. Give me a call at (206) 226-5300 or send an email to sold@windermere.com.

Seattle Real Estate Trends, May 2015

Posted on June 11, 2015 by Steve Laevastu

Just how low can our inventory go? According to the Northwest Multiple Listing Service (NWMLS), our the number of homes (residential and condos) available for sale in the City of Seattle was only 992 in May. Although this isn’t the lowest it has been in the last 10 years (the lowest was 836 in January, 2015), this is the lowest inventory in a May since 2005 by a longshot. The second closest May had 1,451 listings in 2013.

Here is a closer look at what is happening in Seattle and some key neighborhoods:

Inventory and Pendings

While Seattle’s inventory is waning, the demand, measured by homes under contract or pendings, is on the rise. Seattle has 1,330 homes under contract in May, which is again the highest number on record for a May. The only other month that had more pendings in the last 10 years was March, 2005 with 1,362.

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Median Sales Prices

Seattle hit a new median home sales price record in May at $482,500. This is a 9.67% change from May of 2014. The neighborhood report below is a bit of a mixed bag, even showing some losses, but also some big gains!

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I would love to talk with you about your real estate investment goals or let you know where your home stands in relation to today’s market. Contact me at sold@windermere.com or give me a call: (206) 226-5300.